INSOR Russia: Institute of Contemporary Development
Updated June 28, 2019

Analytical Bulletin, Issue 6-7, November–December 2012

December 18, 2012

 

INSOR has published its latest analytical bulletin. The main topics of this issue are: Russian foreign policy in 2012; renewal of the G20 agenda; experts’ thoughts on the regional priorities of East Asia; global governance and the global economy; opportunities and prospects for e-diplomacy.

The annotation of Analytical Bulletin Nos. 6-7 can be found below. The full text of the bulletin in Russian can be found here.

Igor Yurgens. Lurching toward the Fringe: A review of the year in foreign policy

“The domestic political ‘freeze’ which began with the parliamentary and presidential elections could not help but impact Russia’s foreign policy positioning. A re-examination of the results of the reset with the US, a cooling of relations with the European Union, growth in anti-Western sentiments fueled by the Syrian crisis – that’s only an incomplete list of the external expressions of the change of course, which while undeclared has been quite palpable… The upcoming Russian presidency of the G20 in the year ahead and then of the G8 in 2014 provides an opportunity to alleviate imbalances which have arisen between Russia and the West… Further slipping in ‘world rankings’ is not only unseemly for a country such as Russia but also means a weakening of the state and loss of room for maneuver.”

The G20: Continuity and innovation

Russia’s presidency of the G20 began on December 1, 2012. The eighth summit of this informal alliance of the largest economies of the world will be held September 5-6, 2013, in St. Petersburg. “The main objective for the year ahead is to focus the efforts of the G20 on measures to stimulate economic growth and create jobs.” Stimulating investment; trust and transparency on markets; effective governance – these are the overriding priorities of the Russian presidency. The St. Petersburg summit might then serve as a launch pad for the next round of summits, linked by overriding goals, the pursuit of which would gradually provide structure to global governance as the world economy undergoes profound and qualitative transformations.

Igor Yurgens, Sergei Kulik. East Asia: Regional priorities

The first regional meeting of the Council of Councils was held in Singapore in late October. Participants of the seminar devoted to “Asia at the Crossroad: Regional Priorities for the Twenty First Century” express some of their theses developed during the course of the seminar. The issues discussed included the development Asian security cooperation, stimulating economic cooperation, overcoming such problems as nuclear proliferation, territorial dispute and instability on the financial system.

Nikita Maslennikov. Global Governance – Structuring the Agenda

The prospects for global governance given the state of the global economy. “The multi-dimensionality of current and anticipated risks substantially complicate the process of establishing rules for working out new norms of common existence in conditions of interdependency, which in essence is the underlying meaning of global governance… The year 2012 has shown that global governance will be ineffective without taking consideration to progress on real structural reforms in particular economies. The mutual assessment of their consequences for all participants of the ‘global game’ and the correction of national decisions on this basis could become a qualitative expansion of the regulatory system in the global economy. In turn, the year ahead could very well be a watershed moment when this hypothesis transforms into a driver of global governance and plays a critical role as one of the fundamental factors of the emergence of a new model of the world economy.”

Sergei Kulik. Network Power and Diplomacy

“Progress in information technologies which accelerates the role of cyberspace and social networks creates a new reality not only for organizations and citizens but also for states. The information environment which has emerged is beginning to dictate its rules to government agencies involved in foreign policy. It complicates the international system, expanding its list of participants, changing the formats of socio-political events indirectly affecting the world’s configuration, and is becoming a factor of instability and additional threats… All of this increases the pressure on foreign policy structure and is one of the key irritants keeping them in a state of constant anxiety… At the same time, broad access to the Internet with its increasingly diverse array of networking channels also provides these structures with new opportunities in the planning and execution of foreign policy.”